Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.008093 0.009078 0.010157 0.011429 0.012892 0.014528 0.016501
2025-04-06 0.006310 0.007588 0.009108 0.011060 0.013523 0.016552 0.020601
2025-04-13 0.005325 0.006695 0.008413 0.010751 0.013888 0.018012 0.023942
2025-04-20 0.004732 0.006168 0.008046 0.010723 0.014509 0.019774 0.027837
2025-04-27 0.004410 0.005932 0.008001 0.011079 0.015644 0.022333 0.033208
2025-05-04 0.004030 0.005566 0.007721 0.011043 0.016174 0.024044 0.037529
2025-05-11 0.003745 0.005297 0.007541 0.011114 0.016847 0.026025 0.042567
2025-05-18 0.003453 0.004987 0.007260 0.010988 0.017175 0.027468 0.046893
2025-05-25 0.003264 0.004810 0.007160 0.011126 0.017933 0.029707 0.053000
2025-06-01 0.003049 0.004574 0.006942 0.011042 0.018293 0.031284 0.058111
2025-06-08 0.002794 0.004253 0.006561 0.010641 0.018044 0.031709 0.060992
2025-06-15 0.002648 0.004096 0.006432 0.010658 0.018543 0.033588 0.067200
2025-06-22 0.002592 0.004086 0.006556 0.011154 0.020034 0.037694 0.079278
2025-06-29 0.002392 0.003824 0.006232 0.010809 0.019875 0.038467 0.084011
2025-07-06 0.002220 0.003596 0.005948 0.010507 0.019760 0.039306 0.089073
2025-07-13 0.002107 0.003461 0.005816 0.010480 0.020198 0.041405 0.097764
2025-07-20 0.002058 0.003433 0.005875 0.010827 0.021463 0.045561 0.112903
2025-07-27 0.001960 0.003311 0.005749 0.010792 0.021893 0.047838 0.123454
2025-08-03 0.001883 0.003222 0.005678 0.010861 0.022562 0.050803 0.136808
2025-08-10 0.001789 0.003095 0.005524 0.010738 0.022774 0.052649 0.147251
2025-08-17 0.001732 0.003034 0.005492 0.010873 0.023607 0.056248 0.164380
2025-08-24 0.001655 0.002928 0.005366 0.010791 0.023906 0.058470 0.177574
2025-08-31 0.001551 0.002765 0.005112 0.010401 0.023395 0.058369 0.182578